Albany
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 93.0384Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Cornell Ivy (11- 4, 98.4) 10-11 217 H Penn Ivy ( 7- 6, 95.5) 10-15 221 A Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 17- 9 228 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.1) 9-15 307 H Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 3-10, 88.8) 14-10 310 A Georgetown Big East (10- 4, 98.0) 8-16 314 H Bryant America Eas ( 7- 6, 89.1) 13- 7 321 A UMBC America Eas ( 6- 7, 90.0) 10- 6 328 A Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 2-10, 85.1) 13- 7 404 H Binghamton America Eas ( 2-11, 86.5) 16- 5 411 H Vermont America Eas ( 7- 7, 91.8) 12- 9 414 H Siena MAAC (12- 5, 90.4) 9- 7 418 A Yale Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.8) 2-15 425 A NJIT America Eas ( 4- 9, 88.2) 9- 8 430 H UMBC America Eas ( 6- 7, 90.0) 14- 3 o 502 H Vermont America Eas ( 7- 7, 91.8) 14-11 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Cornell 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.00
217 H Penn 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.87
221 A Drexel 17- 9 8 -1 +++ 8.24
228 A Massachusetts 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.53
307 H Hobart 14-10 4 6 -1.63
310 A Georgetown 8-16 -8 -6 -0.68
314 H Bryant 13- 7 6 5 0.70
321 A UMBC 10- 6 4 2 + 2.31
328 A Massachusetts-Lowell 13- 7 6 7 -0.61
404 H Binghamton 16- 5 11 8 0.00
411 H Vermont 12- 9 3 3 0.40
414 H Siena 9- 7 2 4 - -2.01
418 A Yale 2-15 -13 -5 -1.84
425 A NJIT 9- 8 1 3 - -2.47
430 H UMBC 14- 3 o 11 4 + 2.56
502 H Vermont 14-11 o 3 3 0.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Massachusetts 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.53 217 H Penn 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.87 414 H Siena 9- 7 2 4 - -2.01 425 A NJIT 9- 8 1 3 - -2.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Drexel 17- 9 8 -1 +++ 8.24 214 H Cornell 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.00 321 A UMBC 10- 6 4 2 + 2.31 430 H UMBC 14- 3 o 11 4 + 2.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Cornell (11- 4, 98.4) 10-11 -1.48 19.11 -1.38 0.89 -1.28
0 H Penn ( 7- 6, 95.5) 10-15 -4.35 16.25 -1.38 0.89 -2.56
0 A Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 17- 9 -6.99 13.61 1.38 0.89 26.80
0 A Massachusetts (10- 6, 93.1) 9-15 -6.77 13.83 1.38 0.89 -2.41
0 H Hobart ( 3-10, 88.8) 14-10 -11.11 9.49 -1.38 0.89 14.51
0 A Georgetown (10- 4, 98.0) 8-16 -1.92 18.68 1.38 0.89 -0.24
0 H Bryant ( 7- 6, 89.1) 13- 7 -10.78 9.81 -1.38 0.89 15.10
0 A UMBC ( 6- 7, 90.0) 10- 6 -9.92 10.68 1.38 0.89 21.56
0 A Massachusetts- ( 2-10, 85.1) 13- 7 -14.85 5.75 1.38 0.89 12.75
0 H Binghamton ( 2-11, 86.5) 16- 5 -13.44 7.16 -1.38 0.89 10.35
0 H Vermont ( 7- 7, 91.8) 12- 9 -8.08 12.51 -1.38 0.89 19.93
0 H Siena (12- 5, 90.4) 9- 7 -9.50 11.10 -1.38 0.89 17.40
0 A Yale ( 9- 5, 96.8) 2-15 -3.07 17.52 1.38 0.89 -0.76
0 A NJIT ( 4- 9, 88.2) 9- 8 -11.70 8.89 1.38 0.89 18.37
0 H UMBC ( 6- 7, 90.0) 14- 3 -9.92 10.68 -1.38 0.89 16.64
0 H Vermont ( 7- 7, 91.8) 14-11 -8.08 12.51 -1.38 0.89 19.93
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186.07
|
winning pts = 193.3285 losing points = -7.2546
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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